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Since 1988, Wisconsin has leaned towards the Democratic Party in presidential elections, although Republican Donald Trump won the state by a margin of 0.77 percentage points.

For instance, Independent voters choose Trump over Biden in Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and North Carolina. But in Georgia and Wisconsin, Independent voters favor Biden over Trump. The president also leads Trump over voters who are members of labor unions in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Through the first half of the 20th century, Wisconsin's politics were dominated by Robert La Follette and his sons, originally of the Republican Party, but later of the revived Progressive Party. Since 1945, the state has maintained a close balance between Republicans and Democrats.

Since 1988, Wisconsin has leaned towards the Democratic Party in presidential elections, although Republican Donald Trump won the state by a margin of 0.77 percentage points.

The US state of Illinois is a Democratic stronghold and one of the "big three" Democratic states alongside California and New York. It is considered one of the most Democratic states in the nation and following the 2018 elections, all six statewide elected offices are held by a Democrat.

U.S. News in January handicapped Wisconsin as a “toss-up” in the 2024 presidential election, a fitting description for a state where four of the past six White House contests were decided by less than a point. The winner in the state also has gone on to win the White House in the past four presidential elections.

While Wisconsin does not register voters by political party, past survey data illustrates how its electorate has been fairly evenly split between Democrats and Republicans, with a notable independent population in between. The group helped Trump win the state in 2016, and helped Biden take the reins in 2020.