A sustained increase in demand should support munibond performance over the coming months. In Q1 2024, the modelbased conviction has improved, bringing us into positive territory, signaling a more optimistic outlook for bonds.Fed purchases have boosted bank deposits, which banks partly used to increase holdings of Treasuries because there has been little new demand for lending. First, fiscal expansion will boost demand and hence growth. ThenThe GFC ushered in an era of collapsing household credit demand, surging savings rates, and a glut of excess capital.